Political Analysis

Turmoil in Yemen and Reflections on the Future

National Yemen

By Rabab Ayash

Yemen’s future has never been as precarious as it is today. Many efforts that aim to help Yemenis rise above their pain and agony to create a new system and to embrace a better future have been subjected to interminable tests.

In an attempt to depict a new image of the country’s political and economic future, National Yemen asked many politicians and social figures about their expectations for the future of Yemen. Where is Yemen going? This is the question that we asked.

In the last decade, events in the country have accelerated in a speedy and alarming manner and many of these events have spread panic and pandemonium among the people. The process of the political reforms in Yemen is on track one day and way off track the next. The changes in politics have been supported and given considerable praise by the international community. Due to the slow progress in the political situation, many major aspects in Yemen have been affected negatively. The country’s economy is in an abyss. Poverty has risen in a horrifying way. Despite some positive developments in the political side, the humanitarian situation remains critical. Many local and international reports have asserted that the country is teetering on the brink of a civil war.

According to the results of our questionnaire, 80% of the population’s expectations tend to expect the worst unless a superpower interferes to help people settle down again.

Ali Albukhaiti shares his comment “I strongly believe that we will surpass this crisis by means of a political reconciliation among the Yemeni national forces that determine the features of the transition period, establishes state institutions for a Yemeni federal state governed by rule of law, and gets rid of the different forms of foreign domination on Yemen.”

Abdelrahman Al Dirbji said ,Yemen will never see light unless genuine efforts are exerted by all to ensure broader political participation and genuine representation of all stakeholders in charting the future destination of this nation. Such collective moves should lead to the institution of a civil and equitable state governed by the rule of law.

Ali Albukhaiti loyal to Houthies sect made a different statement ,“Yemen’s future is pawned to the discretion of political parties and their quest to find a just settlement to avoid Syrian-determination. The dilemma is that the different parties engaged in the war have no political vision. Those in Riyadh handed in their papers to the Saudi regime while those in Sa’ada have no political vision to end this crisis. Therefore, the county is being lost between the hammer of the Saudi-led coalition against Yemen and the anvil of the leadership of Ansar Allah in Saada.” Said Albukhaiti

Salim Ayash believe that if the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen does not succeed in its mission, Yemen will be engaged in an endless war. But if the opposite happens, I see that Yemen’s future will be prosperous.

From his part, Khalid Al-Roshan “In brief, only the Houthis can stop the agony if they capitulate to the resolutions adopted by the International Security Council.  But if they cling to their idiocies and inclinations the calamity of the situation will be escalated.”

Dr. Murad Alazani agreed that many people are fearing the toll of the collation airstrikes led by Saudi Arabia and their supporters. But he believes that what is going on will put Yemen on the right track. It will end the internal conflict by creating a balance between the combating and conflicting parties. The collation air strikes, which are grounded on decrees issued by the International Security Council, reflect that there is an international will to support Yemen. “when the war is over Yemen will be supported by the Gulf states and will gradually join the GCC. People will pay a high price as some of the combating parties tended to impose their agendas by force, but I strongly believe that things will change for the better, strategically and economically.” Said Alazani.

Abdul-wali Al-Shamer “I see that Yemen is walking into an abyss, God Forbid, unless a divine power interferes to save it.”

Marwan Al-Ghafory said, In 2011 we could say, ‘to the state, that was the mission, the destiny.’ We thought we were coming together to accomplish a historical dream regarding the welfare state. A state owned by all, lead by all. To achieve the state for a free citizen, a human being who lives without fear or pain. In other words, the city of Aponia and Ataraxia (referring to Apicorean Philosophy). That was in a way a little touchy illusion.
Instead of a state, we got a war, one of the worst in history. That is because we cannot determine a war front. No enemies, no allies. All we can see: weapons and victims.
It is not easy to escape all of this, it is a real dilemma. Now, where to? Honestly, we are going to, more vandalism, more apocalypse. The Arabs have no magic solution. They talk about the devil, those who must be defeated. But there is no time table, no solid image.

leeza Fadhal concluded by saying, Yemen is currently surrounded by many complicated issues. An armed militia in the north, a southern movement in the south, a former regime intervenes in everything and the tribal system that governs everything here. The lack of the basic services such as water, power, nutrition and fuel is another challenge.

In Aden, “we live a hell-like life. If you walk on the streets of Aden, you will be horrified. If the concerned authorities do not take action to stop what is happening in Aden, a humanitarian catastrophe is likely to occur. After all that, it becomes really hard to anticipate. Yemen, where to? What I am sure about is that Yemen has turned from ‘Happy Yemen’ to a sad Yemen.” Said Fadhal.